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  Poster Programme - CL014 Probabilistic Forecasts of Climate and the Potential Impacts of Climate Change

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Convener: Stainforth, D.
Co-Convener: Forest, C., Annan, J., Knutti, R.

Author in Attendance:

Tuesday, 4 April 2006 10:30 - 12:00
Display Time: Tuesday, 4 April 2006 08:00 -
Tuesday, 4 April 2006 19:30
Poster Area: Halls X/Y

Chairperson: STAINFORTH, D.

Select complete timeblock
EGU06-A-05271;  CL014-1TU2P-0234
Furrer, R.; Knutti, R.
Probabilistic projections of climate change fields from a multivariate Bayesian analysis of climate model data

EGU06-A-10911;  CL014-1TU2P-0235
Curry, C.; Sanso, B. ; Forest, C.
Incorporating additional uncertainty in rigorous MCMC estimation of PDFs of Climate System Properties

EGU06-A-09667;  CL014-1TU2P-0236
Forest, C.; Stone, P. ; Sokolov, A.
Estimated PDFs of climate system properties including natural and anthropogenic forcings and implications for 21st century climate change predictions.

EGU06-A-09637;  CL014-1TU2P-0237
Kriegler, E
Sensitivity of the likelihood function for climate system parameters to assumptions about the historical radiative forcing

EGU06-A-09670;  CL014-1TU2P-0238
Tebaldi, C.; Yates, D.; Mearns, L.O.
Regional probabilities of climate change and water resource management

EGU06-A-10127;  CL014-1TU2P-0239
Stainforth, D; Allen, M; Piani, C; Christensen, C; Aina, T
Probabilistic Predictions of Northern European Seaonal Climate Using Grand Ensemble Techniques

EGU06-A-10128;  CL014-1TU2P-0240
Stainforth, D; Allen, M; Piani, C; Christensen, C; Aina, T
Uncertainty in Regional, Seaonal Precipitation Within A Grand Ensemble

EGU06-A-10130;  CL014-1TU2P-0241
Piani, C; Stainforth, D; Frame, D; Allan, M
Constrains on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations.

EGU06-A-10131;  CL014-1TU2P-0242
Piani, C; Frame, D; Stainforth, D ; Allen, M
An novel statistical approach to constrained forecasting.

EGU06-A-09555;  CL014-1TU2P-0243
van Oldenborgh, G. J.; Coelho, C.A.S
Probabilistic seasonal forecast verification with the Climate Explorer

EGU06-A-08270;  CL014-1TU2P-0244
Hegerl, G; Crowley, T; Hyde, W; Frame, D
Constraints on climate sensitivity from temperature reconstructions of the last millennium

EGU06-A-07270;  CL014-1TU2P-0245
Schneider von Deimling, T.; Held, H.; Ganopolski, A. ; Rahmstorf, S.
Climate sensitivity estimated from simulations of glacial climate

EGU06-A-05482;  CL014-1TU2P-0246
Annan, JD; Hargreaves, JC; Ohgaito, R; Abe-Ouchi, A; Emori, S
Efficiently constraining climate sensitivity with ensembles of paleoclimate simulations (cancelled)

EGU06-A-05480;  CL014-1TU2P-0247
Annan, JD; Hargreaves, JC
Combining multiple constraints on climate sensitivity

EGU06-A-06626;  CL014-1TU2P-0248
Faull, N.
Ensemble climate prediction with coupled climate models

EGU06-A-05767;  CL014-1TU2P-0249
Tomassini, L.; Künsch, H.-R.; Buser, Ch.; Borsuk, M.; Reichert, P.
A smoothing algorithm for estimating time dependent parameters: application to a simple climate model

EGU06-A-05705;  CL014-1TU2P-0250
Tomassini, L.; Borsuk, M.; Knutti, R.; Stocker, Th.; Reichert, P.
Robustness in quantification of uncertainty in climate system properties

EGU06-A-05237;  CL014-1TU2P-0251
Sanderson, B; Knutti, R; Allen, M; Stainforth, D; Frame, D; Piani, C; Faull, N; Knight, S; Aina, T; Christensen, C
Predicting feedbacks in a climate model ensemble

EGU06-A-03372;  CL014-1TU2P-0252
Jung, T.; Palmer, T.N.; Berner, J.; Doblas-Reyes, F.; Weisheimer, A.
Seasonal-to-decadal climate probabilistic forecasts in the ENSEMBLES project

EGU06-A-02977;  CL014-1TU2P-0253
Wang, X.; Burgers, G.; Selten, F.
Global warming signal-to-noise pattern in the Challenge ensemble

EGU06-A-01072;  CL014-1TU2P-0254
Frame, D.; Stone, D.; Stott, P.; Allen, M.
Alternatives to Climate Sensitivity

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