6th Annual Meeting of the EMS / 6th ECAC

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	Quick Search Author Title Abstract Nr. Programme Groups 6th ECAC Programme Instrumentation and Methods of Observation Atmosphere and the Water Cycle - a Real-Time Look Information Provision and Education   Oral Programme - AC01 Climate prediction and climate variability Select contributions you wish to be included in your Personal Programme and press "Add" to Personal Programme. Finally, click on "Personal Programme" to modify, view, print, save or export your Personal Programme. Please, click Abstract Number to find the corresponding abstract as PDF file; if necessary, download Adobe Acrobat Reader 4.0 first to open the file. Any abstract may be freely reproduced for non-commercial, scientific purposes; however, the moral right of the author(s) to be identified as the author(s) of such abstracts is asserted. Convener: Appenzeller, C. Co-Convener(s): Ceron, J. Co-Sponsorship: Tuesday, 5 September 2006 Lecture Room: Linhart Hall Chairperson: APPENZELLER, C. / CERON, J. Select complete timeblock 8:30 - 8:45 EMS2006-A-00145 Uppala, S.; Simmons, A.; Dee, D.; Kållberg, P. Reanalysis and climate variability 8:45 - 9:00 EMS2006-A-00057 Huth, R.; Pokorna, L.; Bochnicek, J.; Hejda, P. Variations of atmospheric teleconnections in response to solar activity 9:00 - 9:15 EMS2006-A-00399 Gabriel, A.; Peters, D. The influence of zonal ozone variations on the long-term variability of Rossby wave developments and large-scale circulation patterns 9:15 - 9:30 EMS2006-A-00144 Turner, A. G.; Inness, P. M.; Slingo, J. M. The effect of doubled CO2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-ENSO system: the mean response and effects on variability 9:30 - 9:45 EMS2006-A-00072 Drumond, A.; Ambrizzi, T. The South American Monsoon System and the Southern Hemisphere SST anomalies 9:45 - 10:00 EMS2006-A-00194 Pommier, A Analyses of Highs and Lows tracks in South and North Atlantic from 1960-2000 10:00 - 10:15 EMS2006-A-00413 Kreienkamp, F.; Enke, W.; Spekat, A. WETTREG - One puzzle piece in climate variability studies 10:15 - 10:30 EMS2006-A-00331 Zampieri, M.; Vautard, R.; Yiou, P.; D'Andrea, F.; de Noblet, N.; Viovy, N.; Cassou, C.; Polcher, J.; Ciais, P.; Kageyama, M. Progresses in understanding summertime European heat and drought waves 10:30 Coffee Break Chairperson: CERON, J. / APPENZELLER, C. Select complete timeblock 11:00 - 11:15 EMS2006-A-00177 Meißner, C.; Schädler, G.; Haller, M.; Kottmeier, C. Influence of different large-scale driving data and soil-vegetation model on the results of the CLM regional model 11:15 - 11:30 EMS2006-A-00580 Bhaskaran, B. Seasonal to decadal Prediction: An overview of activities in the EU ENSEMBLES Project (cancelled) 11:30 - 11:45 EMS2006-A-00206 Liniger, M. A.; Mathis, H.; Appenzeller, C. Realistic greenhouse gas forcing and short term climate forecasts 11:45 - 12:00 EMS2006-A-00179 Weigel, A.P.; Liniger, M.A. ; Appenzeller, C. Can multi-model combination really enhance the predictive skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts? 12:00 - 12:15 EMS2006-A-00403 Kar, S.C. ; Bohra, A.K. Seasonal prediction of the Indian summer monsoon precipitation using global climate models 12:15 - 12:30 EMS2006-A-00469 Fontaine, B.; Louvet, S. Detection of intra-seasonnal leading signals for the rainfall onset over the Sudanian and Sahelian belts : experimental hindcast 12:30 - 12:45 EMS2006-A-00030 Leroy, A.; Céron, J.P. Dowscaling the seasonal forecasting information : The example of New Caledonia 12:45 - 13:00 EMS2006-A-00285 Purdie, J.M.; Bardsley, W.E. Seasonal inflow and rainfall prediction in the Waitaki hydro electricity catchment, New Zealand (cancelled) 13:00 Lunch Break Chairperson: APPENZELLER, C. / CERON, J. Select complete timeblock 14:00 - 14:03 EMS2006-A-00031 Bader, J.C.; Lamagat, J.P.; Piedelièvre, J.P.; Céron, J.P. Optimisation of the Manantali dam water management using a seasonal forecasting information 14:03 - 14:06 EMS2006-A-00175 Weigel, A.P.; Liniger, M.A.; Appenzeller, C. The debiased Brier and ranked probability skill scores 14:06 - 14:09 EMS2006-A-00257 Orsolini, Y.; Kvamsto, N.; Kindem, I.; Ma, S.; Sorteberg, A. The Aleutian-Icelandic seesaw in ensemble GCM simulations 14:09 - 14:12 EMS2006-A-00286 Ionita, M.; Busuioc, A. The skill of the regional climatic model RegCM in simulating the precipitation variability in Romania 14:12 - 14:15 EMS2006-A-00361 Della-Marta, P.M. The prediction of western European summer heat waves 14:15 - 14:18 EMS2006-A-00476 Patarcic, M.; Brankovic, C. Dynamical downscaling with ECMWF experimental seasonal forecasts 14:18 - 14:21 EMS2006-A-00489 BOUALI, L; PHILIPPON, N; FONTAINE, B A statistical investigation of Sahelian onset predictability using NCEP/DOE2 reanalysis (1979-2004) 14:21 - 14:24 EMS2006-A-00507 Hovsepyan, A.; Melkonyan, H.; Grigoryan, V. Climate Variability and Prediction over the South Caucasus (cancelled) 14:24 - 14:27 EMS2006-A-00146 Turner, A. G.; Inness, P. M.; Slingo, J. M. The effect of doubled CO2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-ENSO system: the TBO and changing ENSO regimes 14:27 - 14:30 EMS2006-A-00190 Pommier, A. Links between Highs and Lows features evolutions at surface level and (Low, medium and High) cloud cover in the North Atlantic Area 14:30 - 14:33 EMS2006-A-00212 Baldi, M.; Dalu, G.A. Geopotential oscillations and rainfall cycle in the Mediterranean Region 14:33 - 14:36 EMS2006-A-00264 Lucarini, V.; Danihlik, R.; Kriegerova, I.; Speranza, A. Hydrological balance of the Danube river basin: an intercomparison study 14:36 - 14:39 EMS2006-A-00297 Lopez-Bustins, J.A.; Sanchez-Lorenzo, A. The Western Mediterranean Oscillation (WeMO) effect on the sunshine duration variability in Iberian Peninsula 14:39 - 14:42 EMS2006-A-00301 Bruci, E.; Muçaj, L.; Mustaqi, V. Climate variability and the trend along with the Drini River in Albania (cancelled) 14:42 - 14:45 EMS2006-A-00313 Hatzaki, M.; Flocas, H.A.; Maheras, P.; Helmis, C.G. The role of large scale dynamics on the formation of the Eastern Mediterranean Teleconnection Pattern 14:45 - 14:48 EMS2006-A-00455 Liberato, M L R; Castanheira, J; DaCamara, C Extended-range forecasts of near-surface temperature based on stratospheric predictors 14:48 - 14:51 EMS2006-A-00378 Pommier, A. Analyses of Highs tracks in North Atlantic, the Azores High and Trade Winds during winter from 1950-2000 14:51 - 14:54 EMS2006-A-00380 Pommier, A. Links between Highs and Lows features evolutions at surface level and Western Europe precipitation from 1950 to 1998 14:54 - 14:57 EMS2006-A-00385 Marques, C.; Rocha, A.; Corte-Real, J.; Castanheira, J.; Ferreira, J.; Melo-Gonçalves, P.; Marta-Almeida, M. Temporal variability of the global atmospheric energy cycle using ERA 40 reanalyses from ECMWF 14:57 - 15:00 EMS2006-A-00401 Palus, M.; Novotna, D.; Kysely, J. Shifts of seasons at the European mid-latitudes: Relations to the North Atlantic Oscillation and impacts on the occurence of extreme temperature events 15:00 - 15:03 EMS2006-A-00456 Cheval, S.; Dumitrescu, A.; Baciu, M.; Breza, T. Regime shift detection in extreme daily precipitation in Romania (cancelled) 15:03 - 15:06 EMS2006-A-00494 Rasol, D. Analyses of correlation between the annual and the monthly mean temperatures in Croatia 15:06 - 15:09 EMS2006-A-00514 Nikulin, G.; Lott, F. Tropospheric response to anomalous wave forcings in the stratosphere (cancelled) 15:09 END OF SESSION to Personal Programme and Back to Session Programme View corresponding Poster Programme Back to Session Programme

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