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  Oral Programme - NH9.09/NP4.06 Extreme Events: Causes and Consequences (E2 - C2)

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Convener: Malamud, B.
Co-Convener: Yiou, P.
Co-Sponsorship: Co-organized by NP

Thursday, 28 April 2005

Lecture Room: Lecture Room 18

Chairperson: MALAMUD, B.D.; YIOU, P.

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10:30 - 11:00
EGU05-A-02352;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH2O-001
Ghil, M.
Extreme Events and What To Do About Them (solicited)

11:00 - 11:15
EGU05-A-03193;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH2O-002
Keilis-Borok , V. ; Soloviev, A.
Patterns preceding critical transitions in socio-economic systems

11:15 - 11:30
EGU05-A-00119;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH2O-003
Hallegatte, S.
A dynamical approach to the macroeconomic consequences of extreme events

11:30 - 11:45
EGU05-A-09612;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH2O-004
Dumas, P.; Gilotte, L.; Hallegatte, S.; Ghil, M.
Interactions between natural climate variability and economic endogenous variability

11:45 - 12:00
EGU05-A-01001;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH2O-005
NOGAJ, M.; YIOU, P.; DACUNHA-CASTELLE, D.
Risk of extreme events under non-stationary conditions related to climate change

12:00
Lunch Break

Chairperson: LE MOUEL, J.L.; SOLOVIEV, A.

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13:30 - 13:45
EGU05-A-08155;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH3O-001
Kurths, J.; Gamez, A.J.; Zhou, C.S.
Isomap - a nonlinear technique for decomposition of geophysical data

13:45 - 14:00
EGU05-A-08337;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH3O-002
Cooley, D.; Naveau, P.; Poncet, P.
Statistical Modeling of the Spatial Dependence between annual maxima of precipitation

14:00 - 14:15
EGU05-A-06948;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH3O-003
Del Rio, J.; Garcia-Lafuente, J.; Serrano, O.; Vargas, J. M.; Criado-Aldeanueva, F.; Sanchez, A.
Description and distribution of atmospheric-related extreme events in sea level around Spain

14:15 - 14:30
EGU05-A-04333;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH3O-004
Bordi, I.; Fraedrich, K.; Petitta, M.; Sutera, A.
Extreme value return times for SPI time series: Sicily and Elbe basin

14:30 - 14:45
EGU05-A-04010;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH3O-005
Vannitsem, S.; Nicolis, C.
Electric discharges in the atmosphere: an extreme value analysis

14:45 - 15:00
EGU05-A-01767;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH3O-006
Balasis, G.; Vassiliadis, D.; Kapiris, P.; Mandea, M.; Eftaxias, K.
From normal state to magnetic storms in terms of fractal dynamics

15:00
Coffee Break

Chairperson: KURTHS, J.; NAVEAU, P.

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15:30 - 15:45
EGU05-A-06893;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH4O-001
Dunning, S.A.; Petley, D.N.; Rosser, N.J.
Landslide dams: causes, catastrophic failure prediction and downstream consequences

15:45 - 16:00
EGU05-A-08261;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH4O-002
Malamud, B. D.; Turcotte, D. L.; Guzzetti, F.; Reichenbach, P.
A general landslide distribution: Further examination

16:00 - 16:15
EGU05-A-02037;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH4O-003
Stanica, D.; Stanica, M.; Radulescu, V.
Geophysical methodology focused on natural hazard assessment due to extreme events (earthquakes and landslides) occurred on the Romanian territory

16:15 - 16:30
EGU05-A-05832;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH4O-004
Kossobokov, V.
Can we predict mega-earthquakes

16:30 - 16:45
EGU05-A-04054;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH4O-005
Shebalin, P.; Keilis-Borok, V.; Zaliapin, I.; Gabrielov, A.
Reverse tracing of precursors of large aarthquakes.

16:45 - 17:00
EGU05-A-09653;  NH9.09/NP4.06-1TH4O-006
Cini Castagnoli, G.; Taricco, C.
Record of past volcanic eruptions of the Campanian area in shallow-water Mediterranean cores

17:00
END OF SESSION




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