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List of Accepted Contributions - CL014 Probabilistic Forecasts of Climate and the Potential Impacts of Climate Change
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EGU06-A-01072
Frame, D.; Stone, D.; Stott, P.; Allen, M.
Alternatives to Climate Sensitivity |
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EGU06-A-02977
Wang, X.; Burgers, G.; Selten, F.
Global warming signal-to-noise pattern in the Challenge ensemble |
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EGU06-A-03372
Jung, T.; Palmer, T.N.; Berner, J.; Doblas-Reyes, F.; Weisheimer, A.
Seasonal-to-decadal climate probabilistic forecasts in the ENSEMBLES project |
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EGU06-A-05220
Knutti, R.; Meehl, G.A.; Allen, M.R.; Stainforth, D.A.
Constraints on Climate Sensitivity from the Observed Seasonal Cycle |
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EGU06-A-05237
Sanderson, B; Knutti, R; Allen, M; Stainforth, D; Frame, D; Piani, C; Faull, N; Knight, S; Aina, T; Christensen, C
Predicting feedbacks in a climate model ensemble |
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EGU06-A-05271
Furrer, R.; Knutti, R.
Probabilistic projections of climate change fields from a multivariate Bayesian analysis of climate model data |
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EGU06-A-05480
Annan, JD; Hargreaves, JC
Combining multiple constraints on climate sensitivity |
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EGU06-A-05482
Annan, JD; Hargreaves, JC; Ohgaito, R; Abe-Ouchi, A; Emori, S
Efficiently constraining climate sensitivity with ensembles of paleoclimate simulations (withdrawn) |
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EGU06-A-05705
Tomassini, L.; Borsuk, M.; Knutti, R.; Stocker, Th.; Reichert, P.
Robustness in quantification of uncertainty in climate system properties |
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EGU06-A-05738
Collins, M; Bhaskaran, B; Booth, B; Harris, G; Murphy, J; Sexton, D; Webb, M; Brierley, C
Progress and Plans for Probabilistic Climate Prediction at the Hadley Centre |
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EGU06-A-05767
Tomassini, L.; Künsch, H.-R.; Buser, Ch.; Borsuk, M.; Reichert, P.
A smoothing algorithm for estimating time dependent parameters: application to a simple climate model |
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EGU06-A-06626
Faull, N.
Ensemble climate prediction with coupled climate models |
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EGU06-A-07270
Schneider von Deimling, T.; Held, H.; Ganopolski, A. ; Rahmstorf, S.
Climate sensitivity estimated from simulations of glacial climate |
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EGU06-A-08270
Hegerl, G; Crowley, T; Hyde, W; Frame, D
Constraints on climate sensitivity from temperature reconstructions of the last millennium |
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EGU06-A-09555
van Oldenborgh, G. J.; Coelho, C.A.S
Probabilistic seasonal forecast verification with the Climate Explorer |
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EGU06-A-09604
Kriegler, E; Hall, J
Imprecise probabilities of triggering tipping points in the earth system under various stabilisation policies |
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EGU06-A-09637
Kriegler, E
Sensitivity of the likelihood function for climate system parameters to assumptions about the historical radiative forcing |
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EGU06-A-09667
Forest, C.; Stone, P. ; Sokolov, A.
Estimated PDFs of climate system properties including natural and anthropogenic forcings and implications for 21st century climate change predictions. |
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EGU06-A-09670
Tebaldi, C.; Yates, D.; Mearns, L.O.
Regional probabilities of climate change and water resource management |
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EGU06-A-10127
Stainforth, D; Allen, M; Piani, C; Christensen, C; Aina, T
Probabilistic Predictions of Northern European Seaonal Climate Using Grand Ensemble Techniques |
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EGU06-A-10128
Stainforth, D; Allen, M; Piani, C; Christensen, C; Aina, T
Uncertainty in Regional, Seaonal Precipitation Within A Grand Ensemble |
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EGU06-A-10130
Piani, C; Stainforth, D; Frame, D; Allan, M
Constrains on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations. |
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EGU06-A-10131
Piani, C; Frame, D; Stainforth, D ; Allen, M
An novel statistical approach to constrained forecasting. |
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EGU06-A-10140
Allen, M; Frame, D
The Paradoxes of Climate Sensitivity Estimation |
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EGU06-A-10151
Rougier, J
The role of the climate model in probabilistic assessment of climate (withdrawn) |
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EGU06-A-10152
Rougier, J
Probabilistic assessment of climate (withdrawn) |
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EGU06-A-10911
Curry, C.; Sanso, B. ; Forest, C.
Incorporating additional uncertainty in rigorous MCMC estimation of PDFs of Climate System Properties |
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EGU06-A-10939
Vielle, M. ; Viguier, L.
Probabilistic GHG Emissions Forecasts under Energy Prices Uncertainty |
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