EGU General Assembly 2008
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  Natural Hazards - Papers of Special Interest as Identified by Session/Event Organizers

Area A: Papers which might be of interest for science writers, for public information officers and for the press media and for the Newsletter of the Union

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IS29 - NH1.1/AS4.08: Precipitation Science (co-organized by NH & AS)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-06564 oral solicited (15 min) - Koistinen, J.; Kuitunen, T.; Kotro, J.; Hohti, H.; Pulkkinen, S.
Derivation of extreme event mesoscale area-intensity return periods of rainfall based on a large sample of radar data
EGU2008-A-12139 poster solicited - Fitzpatrick, P.; Hill, C.; Lau, Y.; Stettner, D.
An examination of the Saharan Air Layer on the tropical cyclone environment using COSMIC, CALIPSO, and geostationary satellites
Patrick Fitzpatrick, fitz@HPC.MsState.Edu
EGU2008-A-12142 oral solicited (15 min) - Lionello, P.
Analysing the links between the present trends of precipitation and cyclone activity
Piero Lionello,
EGU2008-A-12147 oral solicited (15 min) - Christian, H.
Lightning-based Estimates of Ice-phase Precipitation Rates
Hugh Christian,
EGU2008-A-12149 poster solicited - Stephens, G.
What controls changes in global precipitation?
Graeme Stephens,
IS31 - NH2.5/AS4.02/HS3.5: Flash floods: observations and analysis of atmospheric and hydrological controls (co-organized by NH, AS & HS)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-07780 oral (15 min) - Bain, V.; THE HYDRATE TEAM
European flash flood data
Valerie Bain,
EGU2008-A-08073 oral (15 min) - Marchi, L.; Gaume, E.; Bain, V.; THE HYDRATE TEAM
Methods of Post Flood Field Investigation: Lessons learned from trial on Selščica Sora River, Slovenia
Valerie Bain,
IS35 - NH8.5/AS4.03/CL48: Wildfires, Weather and Climate (co-organized by NH, AS & CL; co-listed in GM & SSS)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-01671 oral solicited (30 min) - Amiro, B.
Boreal forest fire and climate change: do we know the net impacts?
Brian Amiro,
EGU2008-A-11511 oral (15 min) - Moritz, M; Krawchuk, M
Global pyrogeography: Macro-scaled models of fire-climate relationships for understanding current and future conditions
Max Moritz,
NH1.2: Extreme Events Induced by Weather and Climate Change: Evaluation, Forecasting and Proactive Planning (co-listed in AS, CL & GM)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-03456 poster - Donat, M.; Leckebusch, G.C.; Pinto, J.; Ulbrich, U.
Analysis of the atmospheric circulation and cyclone tracks concerning the occurrence of wind storm events in Central Europe
Markus Donat,
EGU2008-A-08041 oral (15 min) - Beaulant, A. L.; Nuissier, O.; Joly, B. ; Ducrocq, V. ; Joly, A.; Somot, S.; Sevault, F.
High precipitating events in Mediterranean regions : a climate downscaling approach
Anne-Lise Beaulant,
EGU2008-A-08871 oral (15 min) - Loukas, A.; Vasiliades, L.; Patsonas, G.
Evaluation of statistical downscaling procedures for the estimation of climate change impacts on droughts
Athanasios Loukas,
NH10.2: Tree-ring reconstructions in natural hazards research
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-07309 oral (15 min) - Schneuwly, D. M.; Stoffel, M.
Spatial analysis of rockfall activity, bounce heights and geomorphic changes over the last 50 years
Dominique Schneuwly,
EGU2008-A-11104 oral (15 min) - Pavlova, I.; Solomina, O.; Curtis, A.; Jacoby, G. ; Ponomareva, V.; Pevzner, M.
Constraining recent Shiveluch volcano eruptions (Kamchatka, Russia) by means of dendrochronology
Irina Pavlova,
NH3.1: Volcanic Hazard Assessment and Risk Quantification (co-listed in GMPV)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-05279 oral solicited (30 min) + poster - Martí, J.; Ortiz, R.; Gottsmann, J.; García, A.; De La Cruz-Reina, S.
Defining unrest, assessing hazards and mitigating risks during the reawakening of the central volcanic complex on Tenerife, Canary Islands (2004-2007)
Joan Marti,
EGU2008-A-05639 oral solicited (30 min) + poster - Kilburn, C; Woo, J; De Natale, G; Troise, C; McGuire, W
The potential for forecasting eruptions at Campi Flegrei, southern Italy.
Christopher Kilburn,
EGU2008-A-05681 poster - Kilburn, C; Bell, A; Robertson, R
Deformation and seismic precursors to eruptions after long repose.
Christopher Kilburn,
EGU2008-A-09454 oral solicited (30 min) + poster - Neri, A.; The EXPLORIS Vesuvius Team
Developing an Event Tree for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment at Vesuvius
Augusto Neri,
NH4.1: Investigation of historic and prehistoric mass movements (co-listed in GM)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-01007 oral solicited (15 min) - Thuro, K.; Berner, Ch.; Eberhardt, E.
The 1806 landslide of Goldau – 200 years after the event
Kurosch Thuro,
EGU2008-A-10487 oral (15 min) - Petley, D.N.
The global occurrence of fatal landslides in 2007
David Petley,
NH4.13: Landslide risk assessment methods and strategies (including Sergey Soloviev Medal Lecture)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-04659 Medal Lecture (45 min) - Van Asch, Th.W.
Some issues and challenges in landslide hazard modeling (Sergey Soloviev Medal Lecture)
Theo van Asch,
NH4.15: The role of plants on slope stability and the impacts of climate change and land-use change on landslides (co-listed in BG, CL & SSS)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-05448 oral (15 min) - Guthrie, R.H.; Brown, K.J.
10,000 years of landslides and climate change in coastal western Canada
Richard Guthrie,
NH4.2: Remote sensing and geophysical techniques for investigating unstable slopes (co-listed in GI)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-03978 oral (15 min) - Casagli, N.; Pancioli, V.; Campolmi, T.; Raetzo, H.
InSAR techniques for supporting landslide investigations: a regional and a local case studies from ESA-Terrafirma project
Campolmi Teresa,
EGU2008-A-10662 oral (15 min) - Crosta, G.B.; Allievi, J.; Frattini, P.; Giannico, C.; Lari, S.
Monitoring Deep-Seated Gravitational Slope Deformations in the Alps by PSInSAR™ techniques
Giovanni Crosta,
NH5.1: Seismic hazard evaluation, precursory phenomena and reliability of prediction (co-listed in SM & TS)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-00113 oral (15 min) - Korepanov, V.; Lizunov, G.
Seismoionospheric coupling and earthquakes forecast probability
Valery Korepanov,
EGU2008-A-00579 poster - Moldovan, I.A.; Placinta, A.O.; Popescu, E.; Moldoveanu, T.
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment in Romania used for dam’s rating in seismic risk classes
EGU2008-A-00585 poster - Popescu, E.; Placinta, A.O.; Moldovan, I.A.; Cioflan, C.O.; Radulian, M.
Attenuation model for the seismic ground motion induced by Vrancea intermediate-depth earthquakes
EGU2008-A-00736 oral (15 min) - Dumitrascu, S.; Armas, I.
The historical center of the Bucharest Municipality – spatial modeling in urban disasters
Silvia Dumitrascu,
EGU2008-A-00847 oral (15 min) - Sengor, T.
The electromagnetic device optimization modeling of seismo-electromagnetic processes for Marmara Sea earthquakes
Taner Sengor,
EGU2008-A-00971 poster - Mavrodiev, S.Cht; Pekevski, L.; Melikadze, G.; Rusov, V.D.; Pavlovich, V.N.; Vachtenko, V.N.
On the complex researching the possibility for when, where and how earthquake prediction as well as for reliable estimation of some natural risks
Strachimir MAVRODIEV,
EGU2008-A-00987 poster - Purghel, L.; Georgescu, M.; Gheorghiu, D.; Diaconescu, M.; Moldovan, I.A. ; Placinta, A.O.; Popescu, E.
Measurement of radon emanation along three surface faults from Dobrogea (Eastern Romania)
Moldovan Iren-Adelina,
EGU2008-A-01786 poster - Contadakis, M.E. ; Arabelos, D.N. ; Asteriadis, G. ; Spatalas, S.D. ; Pikridas , Ch.
TEC variations over the Mediterranean during the seismic activity period of the last quarter of 2005 in the area of Greece.
Michael Contadakis,
EGU2008-A-01912 poster - Bala, A.; Balan, St. ; Ritter, J.R.R; Hannich, D.; Rohn, J.
Linear modelling of seismic site effects in Bucharest City, Romania
EGU2008-A-01954 oral (15 min) - Rundle, J; Turcotte, D; Holliday, J; Van Aalsburg, J
A Stress Dependent BASS Model for Earthquakes, Damage and Fracture
John Rundle,
EGU2008-A-01955 oral solicited (15 min) - Van Aalsburg, J; Rundle, J; Rundle, P; Turcotte, D; Morein, G; Donnellan, A
Computing Earthquake Forecast Probabilities Using Numerical Simulations of the Physics of Realistic Fault Systems (Virtual California)
John Rundle,
EGU2008-A-01974 poster - Imoto, M.
Seismicity models for moderate earthquakes in Kanto, central Japan, based on three parameters
Masajiro Imoto,
EGU2008-A-02005 poster - Apostol, B. F.; Balan, S. F.; Cioflan, C. O.
Short-term seismic activity. Next earthquake time-magnitude distributions. Application to Vrancea, Romania
Bogdan Apostol,
EGU2008-A-02292 poster - Liperovskaya, E.V.; Bogdanov, V.V.; Biagi, P.-F.; Meister, C.-V.; Liperovsky, V.A.; Rodkin, M.V.
Day-time variations of foF2 connected to strong earthquakes
Claudia-Veronika Meister,
EGU2008-A-02296 poster - Liperovskaya, E.V.; Biagi, P.-F.; Meister, C.-V.; Rodkin, M.V.
foF2 seismo-ionospheric effect analysis: actual data and numerical simulation
Claudia-Veronika Meister,
EGU2008-A-02388 poster - Constantin, A.; Pantea, A.; Stoica, R.
New data about historical earthquakes occurred on the romanian territory
Angela Constantin,
EGU2008-A-02412 poster - Fujimaki, H.; Ohtsuki, K.; Matsu-ura, K.; Kashima, K.
Temporal changes of radon concentrations in waters from deep boreholes and their possible relation to seismic activities, northeast Japan
fujimaki hirokazu,
EGU2008-A-02509 poster - Chan, C.; Grünthal, G.
Hybrid zoneless probabilistic seismic hazard analysis: Test and first application to SW Germany
Chung-Han Chan,
EGU2008-A-02698 poster - Ardeleanu, L.; Leydecker, G.; Schmitt, T.; Bonjer, K.-P.; Busche, H.; Kaiser, D.; Simeonova, S.D.; Solakov, D.E.
Probabilistic seismic hazard maps in terms of intensities for Bulgaria and Romania
Günter Leydecker,
EGU2008-A-03236 poster - YILMAZ, L.
Wave Forces Prediction on Vertical Walls by Hurricane
EGU2008-A-03436 poster - Pantea, A; Constantin, A
The new seismic macrozoning of the territory of Romania, based on revalued of the isoseismal maps, corroborated to complex geological and geophysical data.
Aurelian Pantea,
EGU2008-A-04548 oral (15 min) - Kovalevsky, V.; Tatkov, G.; Tubanov, S.; Bazarov, A.
Vibroseismic monitoring of the seismic active central part of Baikal rift zone
Valery Kovalevsky,
EGU2008-A-04619 oral (15 min) - Wiemer, S.; Schorlemmer, D.; Marzocchi, W.; Woessner, J.
Prospective Testing of Earthquake Forecast Models in Europe: The CSEP Euro-Med Testing Center
Jochen Woessner,
EGU2008-A-04624 oral solicited (15 min) - Telesca, L.; Lovallo, M.
Non-uniform scaling behaviour in seismic temporal fluctuations of central Italy and signatures of possible precursory patterns
Luciano Telesca,
EGU2008-A-04747 poster - Mohamed, A.S.
Using GPS and seismic data for hazard estimation of Egypt
Abdel-Monem Sayed Mohamed,
EGU2008-A-04755 poster - Poscolieri, M.; Gregori, G.P.; Lagios, E.; Marson, I.; Lupieri, M.; Paparo, G.; Parcharidis, I.; Sakkas, V.; Ventrice, G.
Crustal stress monitoring in the Cephallonia Island (Western Greece) on the basis of a multi-parametric approach
Maurizio Poscolieri,
EGU2008-A-05086 poster - Bayda, S.
Time-and-frequency and spatial laws of increase of seismic activity after the nuclear weapon tests
Bayda Svetlana Evgen'evna,
EGU2008-A-05166 poster - Im, C.B.; Noh, M.; Shim, T.M.; Lee, H.; Choi, H.S.; Hyun, S.G.; Park, K.S.
Review on the evaluating methods of paleo-earthquake magnitudes from fault parameters in Korea
Im Chang-Bock,
EGU2008-A-05412 oral (15 min) - Cagatay, N.; Belucci, L.; Polonia, A.; Sancar, Ü.; Dikce, D.; Eris, K.; Damci, E.; Gasperini, L.; Görür, N.; Henry, P.; Marnaut Scientific Team
Sedimentary earthquake records in the Sea of Marmara
Namik Cagatay,
EGU2008-A-05792 oral (15 min) - Wu, Z. L.; Jiang, C. S.
Retrospective forecasting test of a statistical physics model for earthquakes in Sichuan-Yunnan region of Southwest China
Zhongliang Wu,
EGU2008-A-06086 oral solicited (15 min) - Minadakis, G.; Daskalaki, E.; Orfanogiannaki, K.; Papadopoulos, G.A.
An algorithm for the short-term prediction of the mainshock from foreshocks
Anna Fokaefs,
EGU2008-A-06304 poster - Stejskal, V.; Skalsky, L.; Broz, M.; Strunc, J.
Analysis of seismic induced changes of groundwater level and carbon dioxide in the region of weak intraplate seismic activity, Bohemian Massif (Central Europe)
Vladimir Stejskal,
EGU2008-A-07078 oral (15 min) - Vallianatos, F.
Seismic Hazard estimation and non extensive thermodynamics
Filippos Vallianatos,
EGU2008-A-07303 oral solicited (15 min) - Kossobokov, V.; Romashkova, L.; Nekrasova, A.
Targeting the next mega-earthquake
Vladimir Kossobokov,
EGU2008-A-08284 oral (15 min) - Slunga, R.
Earthquake Forecasts (Warnings, Predictions) based on Rock Mechanics (Stresses).
Ragnar Slunga,
EGU2008-A-09346 oral (15 min) - Benito, B; Gaspar-Escribano, J. M.; García Rodríguez, M. J.; Rivas Medina, A.; Pérez Escalante, M.; Murphy, P.; Tsige, M.
Seismic hazard assessment of Navarre (Northern Spain)
Jorge Miguel Gaspar-Escribano,
EGU2008-A-09495 poster - Bulatova, N.
Some regularities of the migration of seismoactive zones
Natalja Bulatova,
EGU2008-A-09961 poster - Bonfanti, P.; Ditta, M.; Italiano, F.; Maugeri, R.
Circulating fluids and tectonics: new data along the Southern Apennine chain
Francesco Italiano,
EGU2008-A-10038 oral (15 min) - Bonfanti, P.; Bovini, S.; Italiano, F.; Lemmi, M.; Martinelli, G.
1997-2007: the first example of a long-term geochemical monitoring. results and perspectives from the Umbria region seismic area
Francesco Italiano,
EGU2008-A-10523 poster - Zoran, M.; Mateciuc, D.N.
Geospatial integrated system for seismic hazard assessment in Vrancea area, Romania
Maria Zoran,
EGU2008-A-10634 oral (15 min) - Flores-Marquez, E. L.; Marquez-Cruz, J.; Valdes, C.; Jimenez, C.; Angulo-Brown, F.
Statistical distribution of seismic event occurrences along five years at the Guerrero Pacific coast, Mexico.
Leticia Flores-Marquez,
EGU2008-A-11194 oral (15 min) - Battiston, R.; Fidani, C.
Searching for correlation between NOAA particle data and seismic activity
Cristiano Fidani,
EGU2008-A-11299 poster - Battiston, R.; Fidani, C.
Searching for correlation between NOAA particle data and seismic activity
Roberto Battiston,
EGU2008-A-11710 poster - Vallianatos, F.; Hloupis, G.
Rapid Earthquake Magnitude Estimation using Wavelets: Application for an Early Warning
George Hloupis,
NH5.2: Electric, magnetic and electromagnetic phenomena related to earthquakes (co-listed in SM & TS)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-01457 oral (15 min) - Hayakawa, M. ; Horie, T. ; Molchanov, O. A.; Parrot, M.
The presence and structures of ionospheric perturbations associated with the 2004 Sumatra earthquake, as seen from ground- and satellite-based VLF transmitter signals.
Masashi Hayakawa,
EGU2008-A-08377 oral (15 min) - Ouzounov, D; Pulinets, S; Parrot, M; Cervone, G; Habib, S; Policelli , F; Taylor, P
Surveying the Natural Hazards from Space and the Earth's Electromagnetic Environment
Dimitar Ouzounov,
NH5.4: Earthquake and Tsunami Early Warnings (co-listed in SM, TS & OS)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-02711 poster - Luckett, R; Ottemoller, L; Baptie, B; Whitmore, P
A Tsunami Warning System for the Northeast Atlantic
Richard Luckett,
EGU2008-A-05033 poster - Ionescu, C.; Marmureanu, A.; Marmureanu, G.
The first European early warning system (EWS) for deep strong Vrancea earthquakes is working
Kevin Fleming,
EGU2008-A-06321 poster - Papadopoulos, G.A.
NATNEG: the national tsunami network of Greece
Anna Fokaefs,
EGU2008-A-07081 oral (15 min) - Milkereit, C.; The SAFER and EDIM work groups
The Self-Organising Seismic Early Warning Information Network, a new concept
Kevin Fleming,
EGU2008-A-09780 oral (15 min) - Rudloff, A.; Lauterjung, J.; Muench, U.; Acksel, D.J.; & GITEWS Project Team, .
The german contribution to the Indian Ocean tsunami early warning system GITEWS – Status quo
Alexander Rudloff,
EGU2008-A-10878 oral (15 min) - Zollo, A.; Iannaccone, G.; Convertito, V.; Elia, L.; Festa, G.; Lancieri, M.; Martino, C.; Satriano, C.; Gasparini, P.
Development and testing of an earthquake early warning system in southern Italy
Zollo Aldo,
NH6.1: Tsunamis (co-listed in OS)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-00072 oral (15 min) - Yolsal, S.; Taymaz, T.; Yalciner, A.C.
Source Mechanisms of the Recent Rhodes-Dodecanese Islands Earthquakes and Historical Tsunami Simulations in the eastern Mediterranean
Seda Yolsal,
EGU2008-A-00822 oral (15 min) - Lima, V.; Miranda, J. ; Baptista, M.; CatalĂŁo, J.; Gonzalez, M.; Soares, P.
Spatial distribution of tsunami height and the extent inundation along the southeastern Iberian coast for the 1755 event
Vania Lima,
EGU2008-A-07954 oral (15 min) - Papadopoulos, G.A.; Novikova, T.; McKoy, F.; Fokaefs, A.
Sources of Sumatra-type tsunamis in the Mediterranean Sea
Anna Fokaefs,
EGU2008-A-08045 poster - Tinti, S.; Tonini, R.; Pontrelli, P.; Pagnoni, G.; Santoro, L.
Tsunami risk assessment in the Messina Straits, Italy, with application to the urban area of Messina
Roberto Tonini,
NH6.2: Extreme Sea Waves (co-listed in OS)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-01109 oral (15 min) - Zahibo, N.; Nikolkina, I.; Didenkulova, I.
Storm surges induced by hurricane Dean in Guadeloupe: 16-17 August, 2007
Narcisse Zahibo,
EGU2008-A-01936 oral (15 min) - Gramstad, O.; Cavaleri, L.; Janssen, P.; Monbaliu, J.; Onorato, M.; Osborne, A.R.; Serio, M.; Stansberg, C.T.; Toffoli, A.; Trulsen, K.
Statistical properties of directional surface gravity waves: A laboratory experiment with mechanically generated waves
Odin Gramstad,
EGU2008-A-04253 oral (15 min) - Morozov, E.
Extreme internal tides in the Strait of Gibraltar
Eugene Morozov,
NH9.10: Mountain Risks: integration of predictions, management and governance
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-07045 oral (15 min) - Malet, J.-P.; Maquaire, O.; van Asch, Th.; Giacomelli, P.; Sterlacchini, S.; Corominas, J.; Glade, T; Greiving, S.; Remaître, A.
The ‘Mountain Risks’ research project: challenges in risk prediction, management and governance.
Jean-Philippe MALET,
EGU2008-A-12198 oral solicited (15 min) - Fuchs, S.
Mountain risks – assessment and management, myth and reality
Sven Fuchs,
NH9.7: The Management of Combined Extreme Events (Floods and Landslides)
Abstract Status Scheduled Contributions (Author(s), Title) Name and Email of Contact
EGU2008-A-03163 poster solicited - Giosa, L.; Manfreda, S.; Pascale, S.; Sdao, F.; Sole, A.; Albano, R.
Assessment of systemic vulnerability in landslide and flood prone areas
Stefania Pascale,
EGU2008-A-11753 poster solicited - Casagli, N.; Falorni, G.; Ermini, L.
Tools for monitoring and assessing the stability of landslide dams
Giacomo Falorni,
EGU2008-A-11785 poster - Canora, F. ; Spilotro, G.
The hydrological hazard and flooding damages due to anthropogenic activities in the Murgian karstic environment (Southern Italy).
Giuseppe Spilotro,

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