7th EMS Annual Meeting / 8th ECAM
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8th European Conference on Applications of Meteorology (ECAM)
Atmosphere and the Water Cycle
Forecasting the Weather from one day to one year ahead
Climatology
Meteorology and Society
Special Session
  Oral Programme - AM1 Meteorology and customer value - from nowcasting to seasonal

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Convener: Palomares, M.
Convener(s): McCallum, E., Lapeyre De Chavardes, D., Verbeek, K., Boettger, H.
Co-Sponsorship:

Monday, 1 October 2007

Lecture Room: Europa

Chairperson: BÖTTGER, H.

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Seasonal Forecasting

15:00 - 15:30
EMS2007-A-00665
Molteni, F.; Stockdale, T.; Ferranti, L.; Balmaseda, M.; Doblas-Reyes, F.
Predictions of temperature and rainfall anomalies with the ECMWF Seasonal Forecast System-3 (solicited)

15:30 - 16:00
EMS2007-A-00088
Arribas, A; Cusack, S; Maidens, A; Gordon, M
Seasonal forecasting at the Met Office: challenges and applications for customers (solicited)

16:00 - 16:15
EMS2007-A-00004
Roads, J.; Juang, H.; Wang, J.; Fujioka, F.; Chen, S.
Fire Danger Applications of NCEP's Downscaled CFS Forecasts

16:15 - 16:30
EMS2007-A-00025
Benestad, RE; Orsolini, Y.J.; Kindem, I.T. ; Melsom, A.
Seasonal Predictability over the Arctic Region – exploring the role of boundary conditions

16:30
Coffee Break

Chairperson: STEINHORST, G.

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Safety and extreme events

17:30 - 18:00
EMS2007-A-00465
Dotzek, N.; Groenemeijer, P.; Feuerstein, B.
The European Severe Weather Database (ESWD) - Design, Quality-Control and Applications (solicited)

18:00 - 18:15
EMS2007-A-00194
Martín, F.; Sanambrosio, I.; Fernández, J.M.; STAP
Atlantic tropical cyclones close to Spain during 2005 and 2006 hurricane seasons: prediction, considerations and lessons to learn

18:15 - 18:30
EMS2007-A-00150
Jacobs, A.
High impact weather program at KNMI - Extreme weather forecasts and knowledge linked to operations and warning systems

18:30 - 18:45
EMS2007-A-00422
Vazquez, R.
High impact weather episodes promoted by a persistent cut off low system located south-west off Spain during the second half of may 2007

18:45 - 19:00
EMS2007-A-00398
Ruiz, J.; Martínez, M.A.; Cuevas, E.; Velazquez, M. ; Cuevas Tascón, G.; Manso, M.
Use of visible normalized SEVIRI images in a WMO Sand and Dust Storm Warning System

19:00 - 19:15
EMS2007-A-00720
Pascual, R.; Callado, A.
Hiking accidents and strong northerly winds over Mediterranean Pyrenees

19:15 - 19:30
EMS2007-A-00448
Kar, S.C. ; Bohra, A.K.
Simulation of Extreme Rainfall Events during Indian Summer Monsoon Seasons using the NCMRWF Global Modeling System

19:30
End of the day

Tuesday, 2 October 2007

Lecture Room: Europa

Chairperson: STEINHORST, G.

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8:30 - 9:00
EMS2007-A-00649
Staudinger, M.
European Meteorological Services and harmonized warnings for extreme meteorological events (solicited)

9:00 - 9:15
EMS2007-A-00640
van Dorp, H.; Mureau, R.
The KNMI Weather Alarms

9:15 - 9:30
EMS2007-A-00327
Molendijk, M
The concept of meteorological triggers - staying ahead of (severe) weather developments

9:30 - 9:45
EMS2007-A-00337
Hippi, M.; Nurmi, P.; Saarikivi, P.; Sipilä, J.
Development project ColdSpots: Accurate road condition forecasts for road stretches

9:45 - 10:00
EMS2007-A-00601
Abrantes, T.; Silva, J.
Meteorology and the forest fire prevention in Portugal

10:00 - 10:15
EMS2007-A-00600
Bugalho, L.; Pessanha, L.
Monitoring forest fire in Portugal

10:15 - 10:30
EMS2007-A-00218
Nair, K.S.
An assessment of the impact of extreme weather on socio-economic conditions in India

10:30
Coffee Break

Chairperson: LAPEYRE DE CHAVARDES, D.

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Energy

11:30 - 12:00
EMS2007-A-00670
Crocombette, C.
The weather impact on the transmission of electricity in France (solicited)

12:00 - 12:15
EMS2007-A-00260
Trancoso, A.; Domingos, J.; Pestana, R.
Wind power predictability: comparative study of forecasts with MM5 and WRF for Portuguese transmission system operator

12:15 - 12:30
EMS2007-A-00275
von Bremen, L; Hagedorn, R; Petroliagis, T
Towards probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting based on Ensemble Prediction Techniques

12:30 - 12:45
EMS2007-A-00507
Saleck, N.; Bertsch, F.; von Bremen, L.; Heinemann, D.
Accuracy of near real time updates in wind power forecasting with regard to different weather regimes

12:45 - 13:00
EMS2007-A-00567
Petroliagis, T.; Bremen, L.v.; Heinemann, D.
Deployment and validation of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model on the German Grid for wind power prediction applications

13:00 - 13:30
Discussion

13:30
Lunch

Chairperson: VERBEEK, K.

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Health and air quality

15:00 - 15:30
Moch, O.: Lessons learned from the 2003 heat wave (solicited)

15:30 - 16:00
EMS2007-A-00672
Koppe, C.
Probabilistic and deterministic Heat Health Warnings in Germany and Europe (solicited)

16:00 - 16:15
EMS2007-A-00718
Sachon, P.; Laing-Morten, T.; Marno, P.
Pilot of an Automated Direct-to-Patient Health Forecasting System in Cornwall, South West England, for people with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (solicited)

16:15 - 16:30
EMS2007-A-00075
Camacho, J.L.; Ardao, J.; Cano, D.; Cervigon, P.; Díaz, J.; Gutierrez, A.M.; Subiza, J.
Forecasting start of platanus pollen season and grass pollen peaks in the Madrid region (Spain)

16:30 - 16:45
EMS2007-A-00111
Soriano, C.; Seguí, L.; Cabrera, L.
On the use of long-term simulations with mesoscale meteorological model for environmental impact assessment studies

16:45 - 17:00
EMS2007-A-00622
Mureau, R.
Heat and Health forecasts in the Netherlands

17:00
END OF SESSION




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