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	Quick Search Author Title Abstract Nr. Schedule Nr. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Empirical modelling in geophysics Scaling and Multifractals Chaos and nonlinear time series analysis Predictability Turbulence, Diffusion and Nonlinear Waves Programme Groups Atmospheric Sciences Biogeosciences Climate: Past, Present, Future Cryospheric Sciences Energy, Resources and the Environment Geodesy Geodynamics Geomorphology Geophysical Instrumentation Hydrological Sciences Magnetism, Palaeomagnetism, Rock Physics & Geomaterials Natural Hazards Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Ocean Sciences Planetary and Solar System Sciences Seismology Soil System Sciences Solar-Terrestrial Sciences Stratigraphy, Sedimentology and Paleontology Tectonics and Structural Geology Volcanology, Geochemistry, Petrology & Mineralogy Union Symposia Educational Symposia   Oral Programme - NP5.01 Quantifiying predictability Select contributions you wish to be included in your Personal Programme and press "Add" to Personal Programme. Finally, click on "Personal Programme" to modify, view, print, save or export your Personal Programme. Please, click Abstract Number to find the corresponding abstract as PDF file; if necessary, download Adobe Acrobat Reader 4.0 first to open the file. Any abstract may be freely reproduced for non-commercial, scientific purposes; however, the moral right of the author(s) to be identified as the author(s) of such abstracts is asserted. Convener: Toth, Z. Co-Convener: Teixeira, J., Vannitsem, S. Co-Sponsorship: Friday, 29 April 2005 Lecture Room: Lecture Room 0 Chairperson: TOTH, Z. Select complete timeblock 8:30 - 8:45 EGU05-A-02867;  NP5.01-1FR1O-001 Kleeman, R. Information flow in atmospheric ensemble predictions 8:45 - 9:00 EGU05-A-07736;  NP5.01-1FR1O-002 Primo, C.; Rodríguez, M.A.; Gutiérrez, J.M. A New Breeding Method with Adjustable Spatial Structure: Logarithmic Bred Vectors (LBV) 9:00 - 9:15 EGU05-A-02351;  NP5.01-1FR1O-003 Descamps, L.; Talagrand, O. Comparison of several strategies for specifying initial conditions for ensemble prediction. 9:15 - 9:30 EGU05-A-01019;  NP5.01-1FR1O-004 Duan, W.S.; Mu, M.; Wang, B. Investigation of the optimal precursors for ENSO events by conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation 9:30 - 9:45 EGU05-A-05971;  NP5.01-1FR1O-005 Frederiksen, J.S.; Collier, M.A.; Watkins, A.B. Dependence of ensemble prediction skill on blocking instability regimes 9:45 - 10:00 EGU05-A-02774;  NP5.01-1FR1O-006 Brunet, G.; Martinez, Y.; Chen, Y.; Yau, P.; Desgagné, M.; Ohfuchi, W. Vortex rossby waves in hurricanes: their importance for numerical weather prediction 10:00 Coffee Break Chairperson: VANNITSEM, S. Select complete timeblock 10:30 - 10:45 EGU05-A-09754;  NP5.01-1FR2O-001 Zupanski, D.; Zupanski, M. Model error estimation employing ensemble data assimilation 10:45 - 11:00 EGU05-A-03985;  NP5.01-1FR2O-002 Vannitsem, S. Dynamics of model error: Impact of one-way boundary conditions (solicited) 11:00 - 11:15 EGU05-A-09326;  NP5.01-1FR2O-003 Reynolds, C. Error growth characteristics from operational forecasts 11:15 - 11:30 EGU05-A-04723;  NP5.01-1FR2O-004 Shutts, G. Kinetic energy backscatter in the ECMWF IFS 11:30 - 11:45 EGU05-A-04967;  NP5.01-1FR2O-005 Candille, G.; Brunet, G.; Derome, J. Seasonal ensemble prediction systems (EPS) for global weather regimes 11:45 - 12:00 EGU05-A-07545;  NP5.01-1FR2O-006 Gilmour, I Quantifying predictability of energy supply/demand balance using NWP forecasts 12:00 END OF SESSION to Personal Programme and Back to Session Programme View corresponding Poster Programme Back to Session Programme

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