EGU General Assembly 2007
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Nonlinear Processes in Geosciences
Nonlinear Processes:in Geosciences
NP2 Empirical Modeling
NP3 Scale, Scaling and Nonlinear Variability
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  Oral Programme - CL20 Probabilistic Forecasts of Climate and the Potential Impacts of Climate Change (co-listed in NP & ERE)

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Convener: Stainforth, D.
Co-Convener: Forest, C.

Monday, 16 April 2007

Lecture Room: Lecture Room 14

Chairperson: N.N.

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15:30 - 15:45
EGU2007-A-04446;  CL20-1MO4O-001
Keller, K.; Miltich, L.I.; Robinson, A.; Tol, R.S.J
How overconfident are current projections of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions? (solicited)

15:45 - 16:00
EGU2007-A-11592;  CL20-1MO4O-002
O'Neill, B.; Sanderson, W.
Uncertainty and learning in population and emissions projections (solicited)

16:00 - 16:15
EGU2007-A-07155;  CL20-1MO4O-003
Forest, C.; Sokolov, A.; Stone, P.; Stott, P.
Estimated PDFs of climate system properties and ensemble predictions for 21st century climate change

16:15 - 16:30
EGU2007-A-02794;  CL20-1MO4O-004
Piani, C.; Sanderson, B.; Giorgi, F.; Frame, D.J.; Allen, M.R.; Stainforth, D.
Constraining predictions of regional climate change

16:30 - 16:45
EGU2007-A-06888;  CL20-1MO4O-005
Smith, L.A.
Relating the diversity in our models to the uncertainty in our future (solicited)

16:45 - 17:00
EGU2007-A-08476;  CL20-1MO4O-006
Weisheimer, A.; Palmer, T.N.; Doblas-Reyes, F.J.; Rodwell, M.; Jung, T.
Reliability of Climate-Change Projections of Precipitation: Towards "Seamless" Climate Prediction

17:00 - 17:15
EGU2007-A-03955;  CL20-1MO4O-007
Goodess, CM; Harpham, C; Jones, PD
Linking a stochastic weather generator with regional climate model output in a probabilistic framework


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