EGU General Assembly 2007
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Nonlinear Processes in Geosciences
Nonlinear Processes:in Geosciences
NP2 Empirical Modeling
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  Oral Programme - CL2 Monthly, seasonal and decadal forecasting (co-listed in NP & AS)

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Convener: van Oldenborgh, G.
Co-Convener: Doblas-Reyes, F., Liniger, M.

Monday, 16 April 2007

Lecture Room: Lecture Room 14

Chairperson: N.N.

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10:30 - 10:45
EGU2007-A-05586;  CL2-1MO2O-001
Morse, A. P.
Requirements for the end-to-end application of seamless ensemble prediction systems for forecast users in Africa.

10:45 - 11:00
EGU2007-A-10413;  CL2-1MO2O-002
San-Martín, D.; Cofiño, A.S. ; Gutiérrez, J.M.
An ENSEMBLES Web Portal for Seasonal Statistical Downscaling

11:00 - 11:15
EGU2007-A-04298;  CL2-1MO2O-003
Weigel, A.P.; Liniger, M.A.; Appenzeller, C.
Can probabilistic multi-models really enhance prediction skill?

11:15 - 11:30
EGU2007-A-04233;  CL2-1MO2O-004
Vitart, F. P.; Weisheimer, A.
Dynamical seasonal forecasting of tropical storms

11:30 - 11:45
EGU2007-A-07320;  CL2-1MO2O-005
Shongwe, M. E.; Ferro, C.; Coelho, C.; van Oldenborgh, G.J.
Predictability of cold spring seasons in Europe

11:45 - 12:00
EGU2007-A-05688;  CL2-1MO2O-006
Keenlyside, N.; Latif, M.; Jungclaus, J.; Kornblueh, L.; Roeckner, E.
Forecasting North Atlantic Decadal Climate Variability (solicited)


Chairperson: N.N.

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13:30 - 13:45
EGU2007-A-05189;  CL2-1MO3O-001
Zampieri, M.; Vautard, R.; Yiou, P.; d'Andrea, F.; de Noblet, N.; Viovy, N.; Cassou, C. ; Polcher, J.; Ciais, P.; Kageyama, M.
Progresses in understanding summertime European heat and drought waves (solicited)

13:45 - 14:00
EGU2007-A-02175;  CL2-1MO3O-002
Bolius, D.; Calanca, P.; Weigel, A.; Liniger, M. A.
Prediction of moisture availability in agricultural soils using probabilistic monthly forecasts

14:00 - 14:15
EGU2007-A-04214;  CL2-1MO3O-003
Vitart, FP; Doblas_Reyes, F
Monthly Forecasting at ECMWF

14:15 - 14:30
EGU2007-A-03997;  CL2-1MO3O-004
Vintzileos, A.; Pan, H.-L.; Behringer, D.; Saha, S.; Stokes, D.
Impact of atmospheric resolution and atmospheric/land initial conditions on subseasonal forecasting with the NCEP coupled forecasting system

14:30 - 14:45
EGU2007-A-06348;  CL2-1MO3O-005
Xavier, P.K.; Duvel, J-P
Validation of summer monsoon intraseasonal variability in the DEMETER hindcasts

14:45 - 15:00
EGU2007-A-09348;  CL2-1MO3O-006
Kroeger, J.; Kucharski, F.; Yoo , J. H.; Molteni, F.
Improved hindcasts of Indian monsoon rainfall using a Tier 1.5 approach


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