EGU General Assembly 2008
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  Oral Programme - NH5.1 Seismic hazard evaluation, precursory phenomena and reliability of prediction (co-listed in SM & TS)

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Convener: Contadakis, M.
Co-Convener: Biagi, P., Zschau, J.

Thursday, 17 April 2008

Lecture Room: Lecture Room 28

Chairperson: CONTADAKIS,M.E.

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8:30 - 8:45
EGU2008-A-07303;  NH5.1-1TH1O-001
Kossobokov, V.; Romashkova, L.; Nekrasova, A.
Targeting the next mega-earthquake (solicited)

8:45 - 9:00
EGU2008-A-01954;  NH5.1-1TH1O-002
Rundle, J; Turcotte, D; Holliday, J; Van Aalsburg, J
A Stress Dependent BASS Model for Earthquakes, Damage and Fracture

9:00 - 9:15
EGU2008-A-04619;  NH5.1-1TH1O-003
Wiemer, S.; Schorlemmer, D.; Marzocchi, W.; Woessner, J.
Prospective Testing of Earthquake Forecast Models in Europe: The CSEP Euro-Med Testing Center

9:15 - 9:30
EGU2008-A-05792;  NH5.1-1TH1O-004
Wu, Z. L.; Jiang, C. S.
Retrospective forecasting test of a statistical physics model for earthquakes in Sichuan-Yunnan region of Southwest China

9:30 - 9:45
EGU2008-A-06086;  NH5.1-1TH1O-005
Minadakis, G.; Daskalaki, E.; Orfanogiannaki, K.; Papadopoulos, G.A.
An algorithm for the short-term prediction of the mainshock from foreshocks (solicited)

9:45 - 10:00
EGU2008-A-07078;  NH5.1-1TH1O-006
Vallianatos, F.
Seismic Hazard estimation and non extensive thermodynamics


Chairperson: BIAGI, P.

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10:30 - 10:45
EGU2008-A-00113;  NH5.1-1TH2O-001
Korepanov, V.; Lizunov, G.
Seismoionospheric coupling and earthquakes forecast probability

10:45 - 11:00
EGU2008-A-00847;  NH5.1-1TH2O-002
Sengor, T.
The electromagnetic device optimization modeling of seismo-electromagnetic processes for Marmara Sea earthquakes

11:00 - 11:15
EGU2008-A-01955;  NH5.1-1TH2O-003
Van Aalsburg, J; Rundle, J; Rundle, P; Turcotte, D; Morein, G; Donnellan, A
Computing Earthquake Forecast Probabilities Using Numerical Simulations of the Physics of Realistic Fault Systems (Virtual California) (solicited)

11:15 - 11:30
EGU2008-A-08284;  NH5.1-1TH2O-004
Slunga, R.
Earthquake Forecasts (Warnings, Predictions) based on Rock Mechanics (Stresses).

11:30 - 11:45
EGU2008-A-04548;  NH5.1-1TH2O-005
Kovalevsky, V.; Tatkov, G.; Tubanov, S.; Bazarov, A.
Vibroseismic monitoring of the seismic active central part of Baikal rift zone

11:45 - 12:00
EGU2008-A-05412;  NH5.1-1TH2O-006
Cagatay, N.; Belucci, L.; Polonia, A.; Sancar, Ü.; Dikce, D.; Eris, K.; Damci, E.; Gasperini, L.; Görür, N.; Henry, P.; Marnaut Scientific Team
Sedimentary earthquake records in the Sea of Marmara


Chairperson: ZSCHAU, J.

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13:30 - 13:45
EGU2008-A-04624;  NH5.1-1TH3O-001
Telesca, L.; Lovallo, M.
Non-uniform scaling behaviour in seismic temporal fluctuations of central Italy and signatures of possible precursory patterns (solicited)

13:45 - 14:00
EGU2008-A-09346;  NH5.1-1TH3O-002
Benito, B; Gaspar-Escribano, J. M.; García Rodríguez, M. J.; Rivas Medina, A.; Pérez Escalante, M.; Murphy, P.; Tsige, M.
Seismic hazard assessment of Navarre (Northern Spain)

14:00 - 14:15
EGU2008-A-10634;  NH5.1-1TH3O-003
Flores-Marquez, E. L.; Marquez-Cruz, J.; Valdes, C.; Jimenez, C.; Angulo-Brown, F.
Statistical distribution of seismic event occurrences along five years at the Guerrero Pacific coast, Mexico.

14:15 - 14:30
EGU2008-A-10038;  NH5.1-1TH3O-004
Bonfanti, P.; Bovini, S.; Italiano, F.; Lemmi, M.; Martinelli, G.
1997-2007: the first example of a long-term geochemical monitoring. results and perspectives from the Umbria region seismic area

14:30 - 14:45
EGU2008-A-11194;  NH5.1-1TH3O-005
Battiston, R.; Fidani, C.
Searching for correlation between NOAA particle data and seismic activity

14:45 - 15:00
EGU2008-A-00736;  NH5.1-1TH3O-006
Dumitrascu, S.; Armas, I.
The historical center of the Bucharest Municipality – spatial modeling in urban disasters


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