7th EMS Annual Meeting / 8th ECAM
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8th European Conference on Applications of Meteorology (ECAM)
Atmosphere and the Water Cycle
Forecasting the Weather from one day to one year ahead
Climatology
Meteorology and Society
Special Session
  Oral Programme - CL2 Climate prediction and projection

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Convener: Ceron, J.
Convener(s): Appenzeller, C.
Co-Sponsorship:

Wednesday, 3 October 2007

Lecture Room: Indico

Chairperson: N.N.

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15:00 - 15:30
EMS2007-A-00230
Hewitt, C.D.
Ensemble-based predictions of climate changes and their impacts: progress and plans in the EU ENSEMBLES project (solicited)

15:30 - 15:45
EMS2007-A-00676
Planton, S.
Some recent results on climate change projections at the European scale (solicited)

15:45 - 16:00
EMS2007-A-00239
Rodríguez-Camino, E.
Generation of regionalized climate change projections over Spain for impact and adaptation purposes

16:00 - 16:15
EMS2007-A-00441
Frei, C.; Appenzeller, C.
A probabilistic climate change scenario for Switzerland

16:15 - 16:30
EMS2007-A-00535
Cardoso, R. M.; Soares, P. M.
Climate Change Impacts on Atmospheric Summer Circulation in the Iberian Peninsula

16:30 - 16:45
EMS2007-A-00551
Reboita, R; Rocha, R; Ambrizzi, A
SST impact on the cyclogeneses simulated by RegCM3 over the South Atlantic (cancelled)

16:45 - 17:00
Short poster presentations

17:00
Coffee Break

Chairperson: N.N.

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17:30 - 17:45
EMS2007-A-00605
OrtizBeviá , M. J.; SánchezGómez, E. ; Alvarez-García, F. J.
Extrems of temperature and precipitation in Spain in simulations of the climate of the future

17:45 - 18:00
EMS2007-A-00093
Thornton, H.E; Dempsey, P; Gallani, M; Hollis, D
Climate change and precipitation extremes

18:00 - 18:15
EMS2007-A-00283
Goodess, C.M.
Building climate scenarios - the challenges for the developers and users (solicited)

18:15 - 18:30
EMS2007-A-00386
Gaertner, M. A.; Domínguez, M. ; Gil, V. ; Sánchez, E.
Analysis of the risk of tropical cyclone development over the Mediterranean Sea under future climate change conditions

18:30 - 18:45
EMS2007-A-00437
Spekat, A.; Kreienkamp, F.; Enke, W.
Regional climate change scenarios, based on statistical downscaling using the WETTREG model

18:45 - 19:00
EMS2007-A-00355
Dubrovsky, M.; Hayes, M.; Trnka, M.; Svoboda, M.; Wilhite, D.; Zalud, Z.; Semeradova, D.
Projection of future drought conditions in Europe and North America using the relative drought indices and multiple GCMs

19:00 - 19:15
EMS2007-A-00502
Miranda, P.M.A; Tomé, R; Tomé, A; Azevedo, E; Teixeira, M.; Valente, M
Assessing climate change in small isolated islands

19:15 - 19:30
EMS2007-A-00336
Tzenkova-Bratoeva, A.; Ivancheva, J.; Alexandrov, V.
Bioclimatic Conditions in Bulgarian Black Seaside in the 21th Century

19:30
End of the day

Thursday, 4 October 2007

Lecture Room: America

Chairperson: N.N.

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8:30 - 8:45
EMS2007-A-00347
Hovsepyan, H
Model simulations on climate change over the South Caucasus during 21st century

8:45 - 9:00
EMS2007-A-00456
Leckebusch, G.C.; Donat, M.; Ulbrich, U. ; Pinto, J.G.
Impacts of severe cyclones on property losses: estimations based on global and regional ENSEMBLE modelling (solicited)

9:00 - 9:15
EMS2007-A-00334
Della-Marta, P.M.; Liniger, M.A.; Appenzeller, C.
The potential predictability and improved estimates of extreme winds over western Europe using seasonal ensemble prediction systems

9:15 - 9:30
EMS2007-A-00366
Frías, M. D.; Herrera, S.; Cofino, A. S.; Gutierrez, J. M.
ENSO and seasonal predictability over Europe. Some case studies

9:30 - 9:45
EMS2007-A-00112
Weigel, A. P.; Liniger, M. A.; Appenzeller, C.
Blending dynamical climate forecasts with climatology

9:45 - 10:00
EMS2007-A-00368
Sordo, C. M.; Cofino, A. S.; Gutierrez, J. M.
Bayesian downscaling of ensemble prediction systems. Application to climate change scenarios

10:00 - 10:15
EMS2007-A-00082
Alpert, P.; Osetinsky, I.
Downscaling analysis of GCMs via the objectively classified synoptic systems (cancelled)

10:15 - 10:30
EMS2007-A-00498
Torres, L.; del Carre, M.; Ribalaygua, J.; Portela, A.
High resolution climate scenarios for Spain produced with a two step analog statistical downscaling method

10:30
END OF SESSION




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