The fundamental theme of the session is the verification of forecasts dealing with high impact weather (the main overall focus of the conference). Papers addressing the verification of severe weather or hazardous events (e.g. storm force winds, heavy precipitation) are most welcome. However, also verification studies dealing with more common events (e.g. freezing of road surfaces), which may have a high societal impact on the population are appreciated. All forecast time ranges (nowcasting to seasonal) may be covered to account for the abundance of various applications within the society using forecast information. Contributions can deal with the performance of NWP models, as well as with final forecasts delivered to end-users. It is the end-users who are truly affected by the impacts of adverse weather phenomena, calling for user-oriented verification. In addition to meteorological verification, multi-disciplinary (e.g. hydrological) verification studies of high impact phenomena are welcome.
Contributions are invited on:
- New verification techniques and methodologies for high impact forecasts
- Operationally relevant verification addressing high impact phenomena
- Diagnostic verification of EPS/Probability and deterministic forecasts
- Spatial and object-oriented verification
- Uncertainty inherent in verification measures
- Statistical significance testing of verification results
- Uncertainty inherent in the observations used as underlying „truth“ in verification
Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers
Co-Sponsorship
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