Information - NP5.01 Quantifying predictability including high impact weather (THORPEX) and hydrology (HEPEX) (co-listed in HS & NH)
Study how information in the initial state of nonlinear systems
diminishes in forecast process as a result of chaos and
the use of imperfect models.
Traditionally, efforts in forecasting hydrological, as well as most other phenomena focused on finding the most likely future state. Uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions, as well as in the forecast model, have often been ignored. Ensemble forecasting offers a practical solution for assessing forecast uncertainty. In recent years, extensive work has been accomplished by the
Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers
HS3, NH2, WE1,
The information contained hereafter has been compiled and
uploaded by the Session Organizers via the "Organizer Session Form".
The Session Organizers have therefore the sole responsibility
that this information is true and accurate at the date of publication,
and the conference organizer cannot accept any legal responsibility
for any errors or omissions that may be made, and he makes no warranty,
expressed or implied, with regard to the material published.