EGU General Assembly 2007
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Nonlinear Processes in Geosciences
Nonlinear Processes:in Geosciences
NP2 Empirical Modeling
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  Information - HS39 Stochastic-dynamic modelling of precipitation (co-listed in NP & AS)

Event Information
The enormous complexity of the task of trying to model precipitation from prime physical principles in a 3D atmospheric context has triggered various alternative modelling approaches. Complementing the observed dynamic regularities with stochastic information offers a wide enough framework to include essentially all time series-based modelling attempts, and yet it is precise enough to be based on the solid mathematical grounds of Dynamical Systems, Probability Theory and Statistics. This session will be primarily concerned with recent theoretical and empirical developments in precipitation modelling, topics including (but not being limited to):

- purely stochastic models vs. intrinsic dynamics;
- data requirements for explanatory variables;
- component analysis and other methods to select explanatory and intrinsic model variables;
- event models vs. climatic models.

Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers
George Christakos
Richard Chandler
Christian Onof

Co-Sponsorship

General Statement
The information contained hereafter has been compiled and uploaded by the Session Organizers via the "Organizer Session Form". The Session Organizers have therefore the sole responsibility that this information is true and accurate at the date of publication, and the conference organizer cannot accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made, and he makes no warranty, expressed or implied, with regard to the material published.



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