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  Information - NP5.01 Quantifying predictability

Event Information
Prediction is the ultimate test of science. Forecasting geophysical phenomena involves four distinct steps: data collection, the assimilation of data into a form consistent with the forecast procedure,
the actual projection of the initial state into the future, and the application of the forecast.
Uncertainty is present at each step of the forecast process. Predictability is concerned about the assessment of forecast uncertainty that can be critical in many real world applications.

In this session papers that do not fall under any of the more specialized other Predictability sessions
will be presented in all four major areas of the forecast process. Special emphasis will be given to the interface between the different forecast components to quantify how uncertainty propagates throughout the forecast process. In particular, papers describing theoretical and practical approaches to identifying and quantifying uncertainty at various steps in the forecast process are solicited.

Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers


General Statement
The information contained hereafter has been compiled and uploaded by the Session Organizers via the "Organizer Session Form". The Session Organizers have therefore the sole responsibility that this information is true and accurate at the date of publication, and the conference organizer cannot accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made, and he makes no warranty, expressed or implied, with regard to the material published.

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