|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Information - US3 Forecasting Natural Hazards: Where are we?
 |
|
|
|
Event Information |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The critical need to forecast in the earth has been underscored by recent natural disasters. In the complex earth, forecasting the occurrence of future events is often difficult as fundamental underlying dynamics cannot be generally observed, so forecasting methods are often developed based on incomplete information in time and space. Examples include forecasting in weather and climate, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, floods from gauged and ungauged basins, landslides, wildfires, space weather, asteroid impacts, oil reserves, and so forth. Forecasting itself is often based on temporal and/or spatial data (geological, historical, instrumental), an understanding of physical processes, and models, or some combination of these. Forecasting in many complex systems has been considerably enhanced by the rise of modern information technology and associated simulations, visualization, and data mining methods. But, where are we in our ability to forecast natural hazards in different disciplines? This session will consist of invited speakers from different broad areas of the natural hazards community, each addressing an aspect of forecasting in their area.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 Back to Session Programme
|
|
|
|
