EGU General Assembly 2008
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  Information - US3 Forecasting Natural Hazards: Where are we?

Event Information
The critical need to forecast in the earth has been underscored by recent natural disasters. In the complex earth, forecasting the occurrence of future events is often difficult as fundamental underlying dynamics cannot be generally observed, so forecasting methods are often developed based on incomplete information in time and space. Examples include forecasting in weather and climate, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, floods from gauged and ungauged basins, landslides, wildfires, space weather, asteroid impacts, oil reserves, and so forth. Forecasting itself is often based on temporal and/or spatial data (geological, historical, instrumental), an understanding of physical processes, and models, or some combination of these. Forecasting in many complex systems has been considerably enhanced by the rise of modern information technology and associated simulations, visualization, and data mining methods. But, where are we in our ability to forecast natural hazards in different disciplines? This session will consist of invited speakers from different broad areas of the natural hazards community, each addressing an aspect of forecasting in their area.

Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers


General Statement
The information contained hereafter has been compiled and uploaded by the Session Organizers via the "Organizer Session Form". The Session Organizers have therefore the sole responsibility that this information is true and accurate at the date of publication, and the conference organizer cannot accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made, and he makes no warranty, expressed or implied, with regard to the material published.

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