Information - HS10.8 Hydrological Change: Predicting Variation of Hydrological Behaviour (co-listed in AS & CL)
Projections on future water availability and flooding risks is one of the central scientific and societal challenges of the 21st century. Climate change is expected to alter the water cycle and finally to shift the temporal and spatial distribution of precipitation and terrestrial water availability. Large scale land use changes have the potential to impact and alter regional atmospheric circulation, thereby changing local precipitation characteristics and terrestrial water availability.
This session invites contributions addressing the understanding of changes in hydrological behaviour induced by future climate- and land use changes. This comprises particularly:
- studies based on dynamical or statistical downscaling of global climate scenarios for hydrological impact analysis;
- spatio-temporal quantification of regional land use change predictions and impact of past, present and future land use changes on water and energy fluxes in mesoscale catchments;
- joint or coupled modelling of water and energy fluxes between the atmosphere and the land surface/subsurface and analyses of feedback mechanisms;
- quantification of future land use change vs. climate change induced hydrological change;
- quantification of uncertainties of the predictions.
Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers
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