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Information - VGP6 Multidisciplinary monitoring, modelling and forecasting of volcanic hazards
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Event Information |
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Forecasting volcanic hazards at active volcanoes is the challenging prerequisite for any mitigation of volcanic risk. Volcanic hazard may stem from a number of phenomena directly or indirectly related to volcanic eruptions, and including lava, pyroclastic flow, and lahar generation and advance, tephra and ash fallout, volcanic ash and gas concentration in the atmosphere, acid rains, debris flows and landslides, earthquakes, lake destabilization and overturning, and tsunamis. Modern techniques of hazard forecasting rest on the processing and interpretation of signals from multi-parametric surveillance networks, the numerical modeling of scenarios, and the probabilistic assessment of volcanic phenomena. These techniques in turn need to be constrained by information on the volcanic history of a particular volcano, as well as by the conditions defining the volcanic system in a certain state. We invite contributions showing the present state of hazard forecasting from different techniques at active volcanoes, as well as contributions on the assessment of the hazard from specific volcanic phenomena. Examples of integration of different disciplines aimed at monitoring, modeling or forecasting are particularly welcome.
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Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers |
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Back to Session Programme
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