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Information - NH9.01/NP4.04 Extreme Events: Causes and Consequences (E2 - C2) (co-organized with NP)
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Event Information |
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Extreme events are a key manifestation of complex systems in both the natural and human world. Their economic and social consequences are a matter of enormous concern. Much of science has concentrated, until recently, on understanding the mean behavior of physical, biological or social systems and their "normal" variability. Extreme events, due to their rarity, have been hard to study and even harder to predict. In this session we seek contributions related to the description, understanding and prediction of these Extreme Events across a range of natural and socio-economic phenomena. Contributions might include (a) general tools to extract the distribution of extreme events from existing data sets, (b) models for extreme events anchored in complex-systems concepts, particularly that incorporate a priori knowledge about the phenomena and reproduce the data-derived distribution of events, (c) extreme event models to predict the likelihood of extreme events in prescribed time intervals. We foresee a very lively oral and poster sessions, with several key invited speakers, and welcome all extreme event contributions in this session.
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Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers |
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Back to Session Programme
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