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  Information - GB1 In 30 years petroleum will have become a little-used energy source

Event Information
The motion will be debated between two each, each with two members.

Speaking for the motion are Ken Deffeyes from Princeton University and Jean Laherrere. They may argue along the following lines: (1) Global production of petroleum has reached a peak and future consumption will exceed supply. Increasing demand in large developing countries will exacerbate the problem. Total resources are uncertain and estimates are unreliable. (2) The need to curb emissions of greenhouse gases will require that we find substitutes for petroleum as an energy source
Arguing against the motion are Mike Lynch of MIT and Yves Mathieu of the Institut francais de Petrol. Their arguments might include (1) Petroleum companies and governments only develop resources for a limited time since the start of petroleum usage resources have been adequate for 20-30 and will remain so. (2) New technology will improve recovery and open up new resources to meet future demand. The production peak has not yet been reached.
Argument for both sides: Market forces and/or political factors will assure that petroleum will be used/conserved/wasted according to the needs of industrial and developing societies.

Richard Black, a science reporter of the BBC, will moderate the debate.

Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers
Ken Deffeyes Princeton University
Jean Laherrere
Mike Lynch MIT
Yves Mathieu Institut francais de Petrol


General Statement
The information contained hereafter has been compiled and uploaded by the Session Organizers via the "Organizer Session Form". The Session Organizers have therefore the sole responsibility that this information is true and accurate at the date of publication, and the conference organizer cannot accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made, and he makes no warranty, expressed or implied, with regard to the material published.

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