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	Quick Search Author Title Abstract Nr. Schedule Nr. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Empirical modelling in geophysics Scale, scaling and nonlinear variability in geosciences Chaos and nonlinear time series analysis Predictability Turbulence, Diffusion and Nonlinear Waves Programme Groups Great Debates Union Symposia Educational Symposia Atmospheric Sciences Biogeosciences Climate: Past, Present, Future Cryospheric Sciences Energy, Resources and the Environment Geochemistry, Mineralogy, Petrology & Volcanology Geodesy Geodynamics Geomorphology Geophysical Instrumentation Hydrological Sciences Magnetism, Palaeomagnetism, Rock Physics & Geomaterials Natural Hazards Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Ocean Sciences Planetary and Solar System Sciences Seismology Soil System Sciences Solar-Terrestrial Sciences Stratigraphy, Sedimentology and Palaeontology Tectonics and Structural Geology Medal Lectures Key Note Lectures Key Note Sessions Division Business Meetings Editorial Board Meetings Townhall Meetings Splinter Meetings Union Meetings   Information - NH9.01/NP4.04 Extreme Events: Causes and Consequences (E2 - C2) (co-organized with NP) Event Information Extreme events are a key manifestation of complex systems in both the natural and human world. Their economic and social consequences are a matter of enormous concern. Much of science has concentrated, until recently, on understanding the mean behavior of physical, biological or social systems and their "normal" variability. Extreme events, due to their rarity, have been hard to study and even harder to predict. In this session we seek contributions related to the description, understanding and prediction of these Extreme Events across a range of natural and socio-economic phenomena. Contributions might include (a) general tools to extract the distribution of extreme events from existing data sets, (b) models for extreme events anchored in complex-systems concepts, particularly that incorporate a priori knowledge about the phenomena and reproduce the data-derived distribution of events, (c) extreme event models to predict the likelihood of extreme events in prescribed time intervals. We foresee a very lively oral and poster sessions, with several key invited speakers, and welcome all extreme event contributions in this session. Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers Co-Sponsorship General Statement The information contained hereafter has been compiled and uploaded by the Session Organizers via the "Organizer Session Form". The Session Organizers have therefore the sole responsibility that this information is true and accurate at the date of publication, and the conference organizer cannot accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made, and he makes no warranty, expressed or implied, with regard to the material published. Back to Session Programme

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