Information - HS38 Stochastic rainfall models and their use in hydrological modelling (co-listed in AS)
This session is concerned with the interface between the land phase of the hydrological cycle and rainfall simulation. In recent years stochastic rainfall models, using both scaling and non-scaling methodologies, have been increasingly used in variety of roles supporting hydrological and hydraulic analysis and risk. These roles include: generating synthetic precipitation records where none are available; extrapolating observational records that are too short to support the required analysis; downscaling observed records in time; downscaling GCM or RCM climatic scenarios in space and time; perturbing the statistics of observed rainfall to match predicted future climates. Presentations addressing the following topics are particularly solicited: the experiences of hydrologists and hydraulic engineers in the use of such rainfall models highlighting key requirements of this community for a future generation of rainfall models; new developments in synthetic rainfall models with significant import for the hydrological community; potential evaporation modelling linked with rainfall modelling; novel applications of rainfall models; modelling of extreme events; uncertainty estimation and representation, and the transfer of uncertainty from rainfall models to the estimated impacts.
Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers
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