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  List of Accepted Contributions - NP5.01 Quantifiying predictability

Please, click Abstract Number to find the corresponding abstract as PDF file; if necessary, download Adobe Acrobat Reader 4.0 first to open the file. Any abstract may be freely reproduced for non-commercial, scientific purposes; however, the moral right of the author(s) to be identified as the author(s) of such abstracts is asserted.

EGU05-A-00022
Froude, L. S.; Hodges, K. I.; Bengtsson, L.
Predictability of Extra Tropical Storm Tracks

EGU05-A-00852
Lean, P
Error growth during convective initiation in a mesoscale model (withdrawn)

EGU05-A-01019
Duan, W.S.; Mu, M.; Wang, B.
Investigation of the optimal precursors for ENSO events by conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation

EGU05-A-01022
Duan, W.S.; Mu, M.
Applications of nonlinear optimization method to quantifying ENSO predictability

EGU05-A-01557
Rancic, M; Zhang, H
10-day Weather Forecast with the Variable Resolution Version of a Global Eta Model

EGU05-A-02351
Descamps, L.; Talagrand, O.
Comparison of several strategies for specifying initial conditions for ensemble prediction.

EGU05-A-02502
Wei, M.; Toth, Z.; Zhu, Y.; Bishop, C.
Initial ensemble perturbations using the Ensemble Transform Technique

EGU05-A-02774
Brunet, G.; Martinez, Y.; Chen, Y.; Yau, P.; Desgagné, M.; Ohfuchi, W.
Vortex rossby waves in hurricanes: their importance for numerical weather prediction

EGU05-A-02853
Lin, H.; Derome, J.; Brunet, G.
Correction of GCM seasonal forecasts using the leading forced SVD patterns

EGU05-A-02867
Kleeman, R.
Information flow in atmospheric ensemble predictions

EGU05-A-02947
Chu, P.C. ; Ivanov, L.M.
Irreversible Predictability Time – A Quantitative Measure of Model Predictability

EGU05-A-03985
Vannitsem, S.
Dynamics of model error: Impact of one-way boundary conditions

EGU05-A-04723
Shutts, G.
Kinetic energy backscatter in the ECMWF IFS

EGU05-A-04967
Candille, G.; Brunet, G.; Derome, J.
Seasonal ensemble prediction systems (EPS) for global weather regimes

EGU05-A-05036
Candille, G.; Côté, C.; Houtekamer, P.
An evaluation of the Canadian Ensemble Prediction System against radiosonde observations

EGU05-A-05718
Fletcher, S; Zupanski, M
Numerical studies of the Maximum Likelihhod Ensemble Filter with a 2D shallow water model.

EGU05-A-05796
Teixeira, J.; Reynolds, C.; Judd, K.
Time-step sensitivity of nonlinear atmospheric models: numerical convergence, truncation error growth and ensemble design

EGU05-A-05971
Frederiksen, J.S.; Collier, M.A.; Watkins, A.B.
Dependence of ensemble prediction skill on blocking instability regimes

EGU05-A-06286
McLay, F; Marotzke, J
Predictability and the use of adjoint models in eddy resolving general circulation models

EGU05-A-07545
Gilmour, I
Quantifying predictability of energy supply/demand balance using NWP forecasts

EGU05-A-07736
Primo, C.; Rodríguez, M.A.; Gutiérrez, J.M.
A New Breeding Method with Adjustable Spatial Structure: Logarithmic Bred Vectors (LBV)

EGU05-A-08656
LINIGER, M. A.; Mueller, W. A.; Appenzeller, C.
The potential predictability of near surface temperature in seasonal forecasts

EGU05-A-08879
Judd, K.; Reynolds, C.; Rosmond, T.
Model error, attractors, and predictability

EGU05-A-09326
Reynolds, C.
Error growth characteristics from operational forecasts

EGU05-A-09754
Zupanski, D.; Zupanski, M.
Model error estimation employing ensemble data assimilation

EGU05-A-10471
Barton, C.; Tebbens, S.; Burroughs, S.
Forecasting shoreline position: a nonlinear approach


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