US2
The Covid-19 pandemic has been a major trauma for humanity and naturally calls for multiple scientifically-based responses to mitigate the risks and build resilience to it and its potential successors. It should be stressed that the geosciences communities have already strived to respond to it, drawing on their expertise, even if they have also had to face various upheavals as a result of the pandemic.
The solicited talks of this Union Session will highlight these contributions but, more importantly, will seek to identify new developments. These include a better understanding of zoonotic spillovers, anomalous mechanisms and pathways of multi-scale transmission, the role of natural and man-made environmental complexity.
These developments are expected to greatly improve monitoring and governance of the epidemic at different scales and strengthen community engagement. Overall, they put geosciences into a post-Covid perspective.
Public information:
Related to US2:
- Town Hall meeting TM10 "Covid-19 and other epidemics: engagement of the geoscience communities", Wednesday 28 April 17:30–19:00
ZOOM data will be displayed in the programme 15 min prior to the meeting. please suggest short presentations on https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/5KZ3NYV
- Inter-Transdisciplinary Session ITS1 "Covid-19 pandemic: health, urban systems and geosciences", Thursday 29 April 14:15-15:00 15:30-17:00
- a special issue of Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics is foreseen
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Fri, 23 Apr, 15:00–17:00
Chairpersons: Daniel Schertzer, Alexander Baklanov, Benjamin F. Zaitchik
How to cite: Omumbo, J.: First Report of the WMO COVID-19 Task Team on Meteorological and Air Quality (MAQ) factors affecting the COVID-19 pandemic., EGU General Assembly 2021, online, 19–30 Apr 2021, EGU21-16347, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-16347, 2021.
The severity of infectious diseases and epidemics increases drastically, when pathogens start being transmitted between humans, as thereby they can dispose of human traffic networks for their spreading. This can transform an epidemic into a worldwide threatening pandemic, as the current COVID-19 crisis has shown. Traffic networks exist on multiple scales and the spreading of pathogens exhibits superdiffusive properties. This talk will emphasize and analyze the key role of human mobility for the modeling, forecast, and control of epidemic spreading. A major problem is posed by the limited availability of statistical data on human mobility. Various proxies are now utilized since we suggested dollar bills as proxies for human moblity. Recent work on endemic diseases in populations open to migration will be discussed.
How to cite: Geisel, T.: Epidemics and Human Mobility, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, 19–30 Apr 2021, EGU21-7905, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-7905, 2021.
We propose a panorama of already known Covid-19 determinants and some other new factors depending on three families of variables, i.e., geoclimatic (like temperature or elevation), demographic (like population density or median age) and socio-economic (like Gini' index or health expenditures as percentage of GDP) parameters. The influence of these determinants differs between the first and the second wave and we give some explanation of this phenomenon, which takes into account various geographical, political and biological characteristics of the populations concerned by the Covid-19 outbreak.
How to cite: Demongeot, J., Oshinubi, K., Rachdi, M., and Seligmann, H.: Geoclimatic, demographic and socio-economic determinants of the Covid-19 prevalence, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, 19–30 Apr 2021, EGU21-7976, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-7976, 2021.
In response to the COVID-19 public health emergency, we developed an , first released publicly on January 22, 2020, hosted by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University. The dashboard visualizes and tracks the number of reported confirmed cases, deaths and recoveries for all countries affected by COVID-19. Further, all the data collected and displayed on the dashboard is made freely available in a GitHub repository, along with the live feature layers of the dashboard. The motivation behind the development of the dashboard was to provide researchers, public health authorities and the general public with a user-friendly tool to track the outbreak situation as it unfolds, critically, with access to the data underlying it. The demand for such a service became evident in the first weeks the dashboard was online, and by the end of February we were receiving over one billion requests for the dashboard feature layers every day, which since increased to between three and 4.5 billion requests every day. The dashboard has been featured on most major national and international media outlets (NYT, Washington Post, CNN, NPR, etc), and is either directly embedded in their websites, or used as the data source for in-house mapping efforts. Further, members of the public health community, including local and national governmental organizations, emergency response teams, public health agencies, and infectious disease researchers around the world rely on the dashboard and its data for informing and planning COVID-19 response. In this talk I will give a brief overview of the evolution of the dashboard, discuss some of the challenges we faced along the way, and suggest some methods by which disease tracking could be done better in the future.
How to cite: Gardner, L.: Tracking COVID-19 in Real-time: Challenges Faced and Lessons Learned, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, 19–30 Apr 2021, EGU21-9286, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-9286, 2021.
Additional speakers/contributors without abstract
- Paul Bourgine
- Gabriele Manoli
- Klaus Fraedrich, Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Germany
- Masatoshi Yamauchi, Swedish Institude of Space Physics, Sweden
- Stefano Tinti, University of Bologna, Italy
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