Information - NP5.04 Weather hazard reduction (THORPEX)
Event Information
THORPEX is a long-term Global Atmospheric Research Program aimed at accelerating improvements in the utility of weather forecasts. For maximum impact, the program will first assess the limiting factors in each of the four major components of weather forecasting: observational data (for assessing the initial state of the system); assimilation of observations (for deriving the initial model state); numerical modeling system (for projecting the initial state into the future) and the application of the forecasts (in real world situations).
Emphasis will be on an analysis of the entire forecast process from a dynamical system's point of view, for the identification of nonlinear interactions among the four major components that have often been developed in relative isolation from the other components. Weak points in the flow of information will be identified, with the goal of modifying the forecast system to enhance its predictive capabilties. The ultimate goal of THORPEX is the design of a global weather forecast system where the sub-components are well integrated, include adaptive procedures that allow adjustments to regime changes in the system to be forecast, and interactive, allowing the user to modify the forecast process for their maximum benefit on a case-to-case basis. In this session, papers that address all nonlinear aspects of the THORPEX research program are solicited.
Preliminary List of Solicited Speakers
Co-Sponsorship
General Statement
The information contained hereafter has been compiled and
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The Session Organizers have therefore the sole responsibility
that this information is true and accurate at the date of publication,
and the conference organizer cannot accept any legal responsibility
for any errors or omissions that may be made, and he makes no warranty,
expressed or implied, with regard to the material published.
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